Liga MX Liga MX

28/02/2026 - 18:00

Deportivo Toluca vs Chivas Guadalajara

Deportivo Toluca
Team streak
VS
Chivas Guadalajara
Team streak

Who will win?
Deportivo Toluca
VS
Chivas Guadalajara

Deportivo Toluca vs Chivas Guadalajara predictions, H2H, statistics and tips

Match analysis

The Chivas Rayadas, having lost their last match against Cruz Azul, travel to Toluca de Lerdo with the intention of achieving the best possible result. In this match of the 8th round of the Liga MX,  Deportivo Toluca will face Chivas Guadalajara at Nemesio Díez stadium on 28 February at 18:00.

The home team, Deportivo Toluca is currently in 4º position in the tournament with 15 points, while Chivas Guadalajara is currently in 1º position with 18.  Continue reading our analysis for stats, H2H history and best predictions for this Deportivo Toluca vs Chivas Guadalajara.

Deportivo Toluca Deportivo Toluca

Deportivo Toluca comes from playing against Necaxa and finished the match with a result of 0-3, with win for Deportivo Toluca. Buoyed by this latest result, they will be looking to get another win against Chivas Rayadas coached by G. Milito. In that last match between Deportivo Toluca and Necaxa, Red Devils team achieved a 55% possession of the ball, with 6 shots on goal of which 3 were goals. The goals were scored by F. Pereira and Paulinho (x2).

In the last 6 matches, the team coached by A. Mohamed has achieved 3 wins, 3 draws , and is on a streak of 2 consecutive wins and scoring at least one goal in the last 3 matches. Deportivo Toluca average number of goals per game is 1.3 goals, while they concede an average of 0.3 goals per game. With this trend, they have now kept 2 consecutive clean sheets. In those 6 matches, they have scored a total of 8 goals while conceding 2 goals.

Latest statistics in Deportivo Toluca matches:

  • Under 2.5 goals: 4/6
  • Both teams to score: 2/6

Chivas Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara

Chivas Guadalajara, meanwhile, are coming off a 2-1 defeat against Cruz Azul, and travel to the Nemesio Díez stadium with the intention of turning this last result around and facing Deportivo Toluca.

In that match between Chivas Guadalajara and Cruz Azul, the Chivas Rayadas team achieved 61% ball possession, getting 3 shots on goal, 1 of which was a goal. The goal was scored by A. Sepulveda.

Analysing the last 6 matches, G. Milito's team has won 5, and lost 1. Chivas Guadalajara average 1.7 goals per game, while they concede an average of 1.0 goals per game. With this trend they have 1 official match without a clean sheet. In those 6 matches, they have scored a total of 10 goals while conceding 6 goals.

Latest statistics in Chivas Guadalajara matches:

  • Over 2.5 goals: 4/6
  • Both teams to score: 4/6
  • First to score: 5/6
  • Half-time winner: 4/6

 

Deportivo Toluca vs Chivas Guadalajara: H2H STATS

The head-to-head record between the two teams can help you when placing your bet. But in this case they have never played each other.

The match-ups between the two teams can help you when placing your bets. We have taken them into account for this Deportivo Toluca vs Chivas Guadalajara prediction. The last match between these teams was in the Liga MX competition, in an event that took place at the AKRON stadium on 21-09-2025 with the result of 0-3, with Deportivo Toluca winning.

The last 5 meetings between Deportivo Toluca and Chivas Guadalajara have resulted in 2 wins for Deportivo Toluca, 1 win for Chivas Guadalajara, and 2 draws. In those matches, Deportivo Toluca managed to score 5 goals, while Chivas Guadalajara scored 2 goals against Deportivo Toluca.

  • In 1/5 matches both teams scored
  • En 3/5  games it was an Under 2.5 goals

 

Deportivo Toluca Deportivo Toluca

Chivas Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara

Victories

2

1

Unforfeited Matches

4

3

Conceding goals

2

2

First to score

2

1

 

A. Mohamed   
A. Mohamed

G. Milito   
G. Milito

Last head to head

21/09/2025 - Liga MX

Chivas Guadalajara

Chivas Guadalajara

0 - 3

Deportivo Toluca

Deportivo Toluca
16/02/2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca

Deportivo Toluca

2 - 1

Chivas Guadalajara

Chivas Guadalajara
07/07/2024 - Liga MX

Chivas Guadalajara

Chivas Guadalajara

0 - 0

Deportivo Toluca

Deportivo Toluca
12/05/2024 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca

Deportivo Toluca

0 - 0

Chivas Guadalajara

Chivas Guadalajara
09/05/2024 - Liga MX

Chivas Guadalajara

Chivas Guadalajara

1 - 0

Deportivo Toluca

Deportivo Toluca

Timeline

There are no confirmed lineups

Deportivo Toluca vs Chivas Guadalajara prediction

Having analysed in detail the latest results of both Red Devils and Chivas Rayadas and their current form, the StaTips team, using their AI tool, have determined the following predictions for the Deportivo Toluca vs Chivas Guadalajara match which you can see below:

Betting market

Tips

Prob.

Winner
Deportivo Toluca
Halftime and Full time
Chivas Guadalajara/Deportivo Toluca
Both teams to score
No
Over/Under goals
Under 2,5 goals

Deportivo Toluca vs Chivas Guadalajara stats

Season statistics

Deportivo TolucaDeportivo Toluca Chivas GuadalajaraChivas Guadalajara

42

26

10

6

16

10

4

15

Games played

Wins

Draws

Lost

Won at home

Won as a visitor

Ranking

Points

32

19

3

10

9

10

1

18


Statistics of the last matches

Deportivo TolucaDeportivo Toluca Chivas GuadalajaraChivas Guadalajara

6

3

3

0

8

2

1.3

0.3

3

1

2

3

1

Games played

Wins

Draw

Lost

Goals in favor

Goals against

Avg goals in favor

Avg goals against

First to score

First to concede

First half winner

First-half draw

First-half loser

6

5

0

1

10

6

1.7

1.0

5

1

4

1

1

PRO STATS

Streak statistics

Deportivo TolucaDeportivo Toluca Chivas GuadalajaraChivas Guadalajara

winner

no winning

losing

conceding goal

scoring goal

clean sheet


Goals

Goals stats

Deportivo TolucaDeportivo Toluca Info Goals Chivas GuadalajaraChivas Guadalajara

Games played

Over 0,5 goals

Over 1,5 goals

Over 2,5 goals

Over 3,5 goals

Over 1,5 goals FH

BTTS AND WIN

BTTS AND LOSE

BTTS FH

BTTS/OVER 2,5 GOALS


Goals

Corners stats

Info Corners Statips Pro corners/match

Deportivo TolucaDeportivo Toluca Info Corners Chivas GuadalajaraChivas Guadalajara

Avg corners

Avg corners home

Avg corners away

Matches over 2,5

Matches over 3,5

Matches over 4,5

Matches over 5,5


Yellow cards Red cards

Cards stats

Info Corners Statips Pro cards/match

Deportivo TolucaDeportivo Toluca Info Cards Chivas GuadalajaraChivas Guadalajara

Avg cards

Avg cards home

Avg cards away

Matches over 2,5

Matches over 3,5

Matches over 4,5

Matches over 5,5


Offsides

Offsides stats

Info Corners Statips Pro offsides/match

Deportivo TolucaDeportivo Toluca Info Offsides Chivas GuadalajaraChivas Guadalajara

Avg offsides

Avg offsides home

Avg offsides away

Matches over 2,5

Matches over 3,5

Matches over 4,5

Matches over 5,5


Last matches of each team

Deportivo TolucaDeportivo Toluca

22/02/2026 - Liga MX

Necaxa

Necaxa

0 - 3

Deportivo Toluca

Deportivo Toluca
14/02/2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca

Deportivo Toluca

1 - 0

Club Tijuana

Club Tijuana
07/02/2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca

Deportivo Toluca

1 - 1

Cruz Azul

Cruz Azul
31/01/2026 - Liga MX

Club Puebla

Club Puebla

0 - 0

Deportivo Toluca

Deportivo Toluca
18/01/2026 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL

Tigres UANL

0 - 0

Deportivo Toluca

Deportivo Toluca
15/01/2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca

Deportivo Toluca

3 - 1

Santos Laguna

Santos Laguna

Chivas GuadalajaraChivas Guadalajara

22/02/2026 - Liga MX

Cruz Azul

Cruz Azul

2 - 1

Chivas Guadalajara

Chivas Guadalajara
15/02/2026 - Liga MX

Chivas Guadalajara

Chivas Guadalajara

1 - 0

Club America

Club America
07/02/2026 - Liga MX

Mazatlán

Mazatlán

1 - 2

Chivas Guadalajara

Chivas Guadalajara
31/01/2026 - Liga MX

Atletico San Luis

Atletico San Luis

2 - 3

Chivas Guadalajara

Chivas Guadalajara
17/01/2026 - Liga MX

Chivas Guadalajara

Chivas Guadalajara

2 - 1

Club Queretaro

Club Queretaro
14/01/2026 - Liga MX

FC Juarez

FC Juarez

0 - 1

Chivas Guadalajara

Chivas Guadalajara

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