Sao Paulo vs Vitoria predictions, H2H, statistics and tips

Match analysis

At home, the team coached by Dorival Júnior will try to get a victory thanks to home advantage. The match is the Brazil Serie A 30th round, where Sao Paulo will face Vitoria at Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi) stadium on 11 October at 00:00, and will be refereed by Lucas Casagrande.

The home team, Sao Paulo is currently in 11º position in the tournament with 36 points, while Vitoria is currently in 12º position with 36. Continue reading our analysis for stats, H2H history and best predictions for this Sao Paulo vs Vitoria.

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo comes from playing against Cruzeiro and finished the match with a result of 2-0, with loss for Sao Paulo. After this loss they will try to get back to winning ways against Vitoria. In that last match between Sao Paulo and Cruzeiro, Tricolor Paulista team achieved a 46% possession of the ball, with 3 shots on goal without managing to score a goal to their opponent.

In the last 6 matches, the team coached by Dorival Júnior has achieved 1 win, 1 draw y 4 defeats, and is on a streak of 2 matches losing consecutively. Sao Paulo average number of goals per game is 0.5 goals, while they concede an average of 1.3 goals per game. With this trend they have 2 matches conceding at least one goal. In those 6 matches, they have scored a total of 3 goals while conceding 8 goals.

Latest statistics in Sao Paulo matches:

Under 2.5 goals: 5/6
Both teams to score: 2/6
First to concede goals: 4/6

Vitoria

The team coached by Ventura Jair heads into this match on the back of a recent 4-0 win over Chapecoense-sc. Thanks to the boost of this victory, the ECV team will be looking for another good result in their visit to Sao Paulo.

In that match between Vitoria and Chapecoense-sc, the ECV team achieved 52% ball possession, getting 8 shots on goal, 4 of which were goals. The goals were scored by Matheuzinho (x2) and Erick (x2).

Analysing the last 6 matches, Ventura Jair's team has won 2, drawn 1 and lost 3. Vitoria average 1.5 goals per game, while they concede an average of 1.5 goals per game. With this trend, they have now kept 1 clean sheet in an official match. In those 6 matches, they have scored a total of 9 goals while conceding 9 goals.

Latest statistics in Vitoria matches:

Over 2.5 goals: 4/6
Both teams to score: 3/6
First to score: 4/6

Sao Paulo vs Vitoria: H2H STATS

The head-to-head record between the two teams can help you when placing your bet. But in this case they have never played each other.

We always analyse previous H2H to spot trends that help us make a more accurate Sao Paulo vs Vitoria prediction. The last match between these teams was in the Brazil Serie A competition, in an event that took place at the Estádio Manoel Barradas stadium on 11-04-2026 with the result of 2-0, with Vitoria winning.

The last 5 meetings between Sao Paulo and Vitoria have resulted in 3 wins for Sao Paulo, 2 wins for Vitoria. In those matches, Sao Paulo managed to score 7 goals, while Vitoria scored 5 goals against Sao Paulo.

In 2/5 matches both teams scored
En 3/5 games it was an Under 2.5 goals

Last head to head

11/04/2026 - Brazil Serie A

Vitoria

2 - 0

Sao Paulo

07/12/2025 - Brazil Serie A

Vitoria

1 - 0

Sao Paulo

09/08/2025 - Brazil Serie A

Sao Paulo

2 - 0

Vitoria

25/08/2024 - Brazil Serie A

Sao Paulo

2 - 1

Vitoria

05/05/2024 - Brazil Serie A

Vitoria

1 - 3

Sao Paulo

Timeline

Sao Paulo

Vitoria

Sao Paulo

Arboleda

Sabino

Lucas Ramon

Artur

Rafael

Iago

Calleri

Bobadilla

Newton

Santana

Ferreira

Substitutes:

7 Lucas Moura Player change

8 Marcos Antônio Player change

18 Wendell

27 Victor Sá

2 R. Tolói Player change

17 André Silva

31 Carlos Coronel

29 Pablo Maia

32 Pedro Lima Player change

49 Ryan Francisco

46 Pedro Ferreira Player change

45 Lucca Marques Alencar

Vitoria

Lucas Arcanjo

Erick

Luan Cândido

Cacá

Martínez

Lucas Silva

Jamerson

Matheuzinho

Caíque

Mateusinho

Rene

Substitutes:

28 Anderson Pato Player change

2 E. Brítez

8 T. Pochettino Player change

79 Renato Kayzer Player change Yellow card

23 Fabrício

7 Marinho

15 Walace

77 I. Laquintana

71 Yuri Sena

9 Alex Bruno Player change

88 Zé Vitor Player change

26 Edenilson

Sao Paulo vs Vitoria prediction

After analysing the form of both teams and their last H2H meetings, the StaTips team, using our data and statistics tool, has created the following predictions for the match Sao Paulo vs Vitoria.

Correct score

Featured prediction

Sao Paulo

1 - 0

Vitoria

Probability

Other predictions

Betting market Tips Prob.

Winner

Sao Paulo

Halftime and Full time

Draw/Sao Paulo

Both teams to score

Over/Under goals

Under 2,5 goals

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Sao Paulo vs Vitoria stats

Season statistics

Sao Paulo

Vitoria

Games played

Wins

Draws

Lost

Won at home

Won as a visitor

Ranking

Points

Statistics of the last matches

Sao Paulo

Vitoria

Games played

Wins

Draw

Lost

Goals in favor

Goals against

0.5

Avg goals in favor

1.5

1.3

Avg goals against

1.5

First to score

First to concede

First half winner

First-half draw

First-half loser

Live team statistics

Sao Paulo

Vitoria

1.8

Expected goals

0.54

Ball Possesion

Total shots

Free kicks

Shots on goal

Shots off goal

Corner kicks

Goalkeeper saves

Fouls

Yellow cards

Red cards

479

Total pases

403

394

Passes accurate

327

Blocked shots

Shots inside box

Shot outside box

Premium insights

PRO STATS

Advanced comparisons, streaks and match context for both teams

Streak statistics

Sao Paulo

Vitoria

winner

no winning

losing

conceding goal

scoring goal

clean sheet

Goals stats

Sao Paulo

Vitoria

Games played

Over 0,5 goals

Over 1,5 goals

Over 2,5 goals

Over 3,5 goals

Over 1,5 goals FH

BTTS AND WIN

BTTS AND LOSE

BTTS FH

BTTS/OVER 2,5 GOALS

Corners stats

corners/match

Sao Paulo

Vitoria

Avg corners

Avg corners home

Avg corners away

Matches over 2,5

Matches over 3,5

Matches over 4,5

Matches over 5,5

Cards stats

cards/match

Sao Paulo

Vitoria

Avg cards

Avg cards home

Avg cards away

Matches over 2,5

Matches over 3,5

Matches over 4,5

Matches over 5,5

Offsides stats

offsides/match

Sao Paulo

Vitoria

Avg offsides

Avg offsides home

Avg offsides away

Matches over 2,5

Matches over 3,5

Matches over 4,5

Matches over 5,5

Referee statistics: Lucas Casagrande

Average Cards Matches

AVG CARDS HOME TEAMS

AVG CARDS AWAY TEAMS

YELLOW CARDS HOME TEAMS

YELLOW CARDS AWAY TEAMS

RED CARDS HOME TEAMS

RED CARDS AWAY TEAM

MATCHES REFEREED

*Data from the last 12 months

Sao Paulo

Matches refereed

Average cards

Yellow cards

Red cards

Vitoria

Referee Lucas Casagrande has not refereed Sao Paulo this last year.

Last matches of each team

Sao Paulo

Vitoria

Sao Paulo

08/10/2026 - Brazil Serie A

Cruzeiro

2 - 0

Sao

02/10/2026 - Brazil Serie A

Sao

1 - 2

Santos FC

20/09/2026 - Brazil Serie A

Sao

1 - 0

SC Internacional

16/09/2026 - CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Sao

1 - 1

Boca Juniors

12/09/2026 - Brazil Serie A

Palmeiras

2 - 0

Sao

09/09/2026 - CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Boca Juniors

1 - 0

Sao

Vitoria

07/10/2026 - Brazil Serie A

Vitoria

4 - 0

Chapecoense-sc

20/09/2026 - Brazil Serie A

Vitoria

1 - 3

Cruzeiro

13/09/2026 - Brazil Serie A

Mirassol FC

2 - 2

Vitoria

07/09/2026 - Brazil Serie A

Vitoria

1 - 0

Gremio

03/09/2026 - Copa Do Brasil

Vitoria

0 - 2

Vasco da Gama

29/08/2026 - Brazil Serie A

Atlético Mineiro

2 - 1

Vitoria

Match information

Round

30th round - Brazil Serie A

Date

11/10/2026 - 00:00

Referee

Lucas Casagrande

Stadium

Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi)

Place

São Paulo, São Paulo - Brazil

Survey results - TOP 5

Match Bet Vote

Winner Como 1907

100%

Winner Inter Milan

75%

Survey results - TOP 5

Match Bet Vote

Winner Como 1907

100%

Winner Inter Milan

75%

	Sao Paulo	Vitoria
Victories	3	2
Unforfeited Matches	3	2
Conceding goals	4	3
First to score	3	2
	Dorival Júnior	Ventura Jair