Sao Paulo vs Gremio predictions, H2H, statistics and tips

At home, the team coached by H. Crespo will try to get a victory thanks to home advantage. The match is the Brazil Serie A 3rd round, where  Sao Paulo will face Gremio at Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi) stadium on 11 February at 19:30.

After a draw in their last game played, Sao Paulo is currently in 5º position in the tournament with 4 points, while Gremio is currently in 9º position with 3.  Continue reading our analysis for stats, H2H history and best predictions for this Sao Paulo vs Gremio.

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo comes from playing against Santos FC and finished the match with a result of 1-1, with draw for both teams. In that last match between Sao Paulo and Santos FC, Tricolor Paulista team achieved a 49% possession of the ball, with 3 shots on goal of which 1 was a goal. The goal was scored by Jonathan Calleri.

In the last 6 matches, the team coached by H. Crespo has achieved 2 wins, 2 draws y 2 defeats. Sao Paulo average number of goals per game is 1.5 goals, while they concede an average of 1.5 goals per game. With this trend they have 1 match conceding at least one goal. In those 6 matches, they have scored a total of 9 goals while conceding 9 goals.

Latest statistics in Sao Paulo matches:

• Both teams to score: 5/6
• First to concede goals: 4/6

Gremio

The team coached by Luis Castro heads into this match on the back of a recent 5-3 win over Botafogo. Thanks to the boost of this victory, the Tricolor dos Pampas team will be looking for another good result in their visit to Sao Paulo.

In that match between Gremio and Botafogo, the Tricolor dos Pampas team achieved 44% ball possession, getting 8 shots on goal, 5 of which were goals. The goals were scored by Carlos Vinicius (x3), Tete and Edenilson.

Analysing the last 6 matches, Luis Castro's team has won 3, drawn 1 and lost 2. Gremio average 2.7 goals per game, while they concede an average of 1.7 goals per game. With this trend, they have 4 official matches without clean sheets. In those 6 matches, they have scored a total of 16 goals while conceding 10 goals.

Latest statistics in Gremio matches:

• Over 2.5 goals: 4/6
• Both teams to score: 4/6
• Matches conceding goals: 4
• First to score: 4/6
• Draw at half-time: 4/6

Sao Paulo vs Gremio: H2H STATS

The head-to-head record between the two teams can help you when placing your bet. But in this case they have never played each other.

Analysis of the head-to-head H2H between Sao Paulo vs Gremio has helped us to create this prediction. The last match between these teams was in the Brazil Serie A competition, in an event that took place at the Arena do Grêmio stadium on 16-10-2025 with the result of 2-0, with Gremio winning.

The last 5 meetings between Sao Paulo and Gremio have resulted in 3 wins for Sao Paulo, 2 wins for Gremio. In those matches, Sao Paulo managed to score 7 goals, while Gremio scored 5 goals against Sao Paulo.

• In 2/5 matches both teams scored
• En 3/5 games it was an Over 2.5 goals