Atletico Paranaense vs Atlético Mineiro predictions, H2H, statistics and tips

Match analysis

At home, the team coached by Odair Hellmann will try to get a victory thanks to home advantage. The match is the Brazil Serie A 29th round, where Atletico Paranaense will face Atlético Mineiro at Arena da Baixada stadium on 8 October at 23:00, and will be refereed by Ramon Abatti.

The home team, Atletico Paranaense is currently in 4º position in the tournament with 50 points, while Atlético Mineiro is currently in 7º position with 44. Continue reading our analysis for stats, H2H history and best predictions for this Atletico Paranaense vs Atlético Mineiro.

Atletico Paranaense

Atletico Paranaense comes from playing against EC Bahia and finished the match with a result of 2-1, with win for Atletico Paranaense. Buoyed by this latest result, they will be looking to get another win against Atletico-MG coached by E. Domínguez. In that last match between Atletico Paranaense and EC Bahia, Atletico Paranaense team achieved a 60% possession of the ball, with 6 shots on goal of which 2 were goals. The goals were scored by L. Esquivel and Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto.

In the last 8 matches, the team coached by Odair Hellmann has achieved 3 wins, 3 draws y 2 defeats. Atletico Paranaense average number of goals per game is 1.9 goals, while they concede an average of 2.1 goals per game. With this trend they have 6 matches conceding at least one goal. In those 8 matches, they have scored a total of 15 goals while conceding 17 goals.

Latest statistics in Atletico Paranaense matches:

Over 2.5 goals: 6/8
Both teams to score: 6/8
Matches conceding goals: 6
First to score: 6/8
Draw at half-time: 4/8

Atlético Mineiro

The team coached by E. Domínguez heads into this match on the back of a recent 1-0 win over RB Bragantino. Thanks to the boost of this victory, the Atletico-MG team will be looking for another good result in their visit to Atletico Paranaense.

In that match between Atlético Mineiro and RB Bragantino, the Atletico-MG team achieved 40% ball possession, getting 3 shots on goal, 1 of which was a goal. The goal was scored by Bernard.

Analysing the last 8 matches, E. Domínguez's team has won 5, drawn 1 and lost 2. Atlético Mineiro average 1.6 goals per game, while they concede an average of 1.3 goals per game. With this trend, they have now kept 1 clean sheet in an official match. In those 8 matches, they have scored a total of 13 goals while conceding 10 goals.

Latest statistics in Atlético Mineiro matches:

Over 2.5 goals: 4/8
Under 2.5 goals: 4/8
Both teams to score: 5/8
First to score: 4/8
First to concede goals: 4/8

Atletico Paranaense vs Atlético Mineiro: H2H STATS

The head-to-head record between the two teams can help you when placing your bet. But in this case they have never played each other.

The match-ups between the two teams can help you when placing your bets. We have taken them into account for this Atletico Paranaense vs Atlético Mineiro prediction. The last match between these teams was in the Brazil Serie A competition, in an event that took place at the Arena MRV stadium on 05-04-2026 with the result of 2-1, with Atlético Mineiro winning.

The last 5 meetings between Atletico Paranaense and Atlético Mineiro have resulted in 1 win for Atletico Paranaense, 3 wins for Atlético Mineiro, and 1 draw. In those matches, Atletico Paranaense managed to score 4 goals, while Atlético Mineiro scored 6 goals against Atletico Paranaense.

In 3/5 matches both teams scored
En 3/5 games it was an Under 2.5 goals

Last head to head

05/04/2026 - Brazil Serie A

Atlético Mineiro

2 - 1

Atletico Paranaense

08/12/2024 - Brazil Serie A

Atlético Mineiro

1 - 0

Atletico Paranaense

16/11/2024 - Brazil Serie A

Atletico Paranaense

1 - 0

Atlético Mineiro

02/09/2023 - Brazil Serie A

Atletico Paranaense

1 - 1

Atlético Mineiro

23/05/2023 - CONMEBOL Libertadores

Atlético Mineiro

2 - 1

Atletico Paranaense

Timeline

Atletico Paranaense

Atlético Mineiro

Atletico Paranaense

Luiz Gustavo

Jádson

Gilberto

Viveros

Terán

Mendoza

Esquivel

Mycael

Vargas

João Cruz

Arthur Dias

Substitutes:

3 Léo

23 Santos

5 Felipinho

10 B. Zapelli Player change

70 Renan

19 Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto Player change

21 Leozinho Player change

53 Dudu

47 Chiqueti

2 Gilberto Player change

63 Diogo Riquelme

26 Claudinho Player change

Atlético Mineiro

Maycon

Fred

Cuello

Renan Lodi

Reinier

Bernard

Lyanco

Natanael

Gabriel Delfim

Vitão

Mamady Cisse

Substitutes:

64 Guilherme Pires Soares

92 Dudu

17 Igor Gomes Player change

3 Léo Duarte

14 Vitor Hugo

18 T. Borbas Player change

15 K. Castaño Player change Yellow card

30 Victor Hugo Player change

5 Alexsander

25 T. Pérez Player change Red card

31 Robert

36 K. Pascini

Atletico Paranaense vs Atlético Mineiro prediction

Having analysed in detail the latest results of both Atletico Paranaense and Atletico-MG and their current form, the StaTips team, using their AI tool, have determined the following predictions for the Atletico Paranaense vs Atlético Mineiro match which you can see below:

Correct score

Featured prediction

Atletico Paranaense

2 - 1

Atlético Mineiro

Probability

Other predictions

Betting market Tips Prob.

Winner

Atletico Paranaense

Halftime and Full time

Atletico Paranaense/Atletico Paranaense

Both teams to score

Yes

Over/Under goals

Over 2,5 goals

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Atletico Paranaense vs Atlético Mineiro stats

Season statistics

Atletico Paranaense

Atlético Mineiro

Games played

Wins

Draws

Lost

Won at home

Won as a visitor

Ranking

Points

Statistics of the last matches

Atletico Paranaense

Atlético Mineiro

Games played

Wins

Draw

Lost

Goals in favor

Goals against

1.9

Avg goals in favor

1.6

2.1

Avg goals against

1.3

First to score

First to concede

First half winner

First-half draw

First-half loser

Live team statistics

Atletico Paranaense

Atlético Mineiro

2.67

Expected goals

1.74

Ball Possesion

Total shots

Free kicks

Shots on goal

Shots off goal

Corner kicks

Offsides

Goalkeeper saves

Fouls

Yellow cards

Red cards

501

Total pases

489

440

Passes accurate

427

Blocked shots

Shots inside box

Shot outside box

Premium insights

PRO STATS

Advanced comparisons, streaks and match context for both teams

Streak statistics

Atletico Paranaense

Atlético Mineiro

winner

no winning

losing

conceding goal

scoring goal

clean sheet

Goals stats

Atletico Paranaense

Atlético Mineiro

Games played

Over 0,5 goals

Over 1,5 goals

Over 2,5 goals

Over 3,5 goals

Over 1,5 goals FH

BTTS AND WIN

BTTS AND LOSE

BTTS FH

BTTS/OVER 2,5 GOALS

Corners stats

corners/match

Atletico Paranaense

Atlético Mineiro

Avg corners

Avg corners home

Avg corners away

Matches over 2,5

Matches over 3,5

Matches over 4,5

Matches over 5,5

Cards stats

cards/match

Atletico Paranaense

Atlético Mineiro

Avg cards

Avg cards home

Avg cards away

Matches over 2,5

Matches over 3,5

Matches over 4,5

Matches over 5,5

Offsides stats

offsides/match

Atletico Paranaense

Atlético Mineiro

Avg offsides

Avg offsides home

Avg offsides away

Matches over 2,5

Matches over 3,5

Matches over 4,5

Matches over 5,5

Referee statistics: Ramon Abatti

Average Cards Matches

AVG CARDS HOME TEAMS

AVG CARDS AWAY TEAMS

YELLOW CARDS HOME TEAMS

YELLOW CARDS AWAY TEAMS

RED CARDS HOME TEAMS

RED CARDS AWAY TEAM

MATCHES REFEREED

*Data from the last 12 months

Atletico Paranaense

Referee Ramon Abatti has not refereed Atletico Paranaense this last year.

Atlético Mineiro

Matches refereed

Average cards

Yellow cards

Red cards

Last matches of each team

Atletico Paranaense

Atlético Mineiro

Atletico Paranaense

20/09/2026 - Brazil Serie A

Atletico

2 - 1

EC Bahia

12/09/2026 - Brazil Serie A

Coritiba

3 - 3

Atletico

06/09/2026 - Brazil Serie A

Cruzeiro

3 - 1

Atletico

30/08/2026 - Brazil Serie A

Atletico

3 - 3

Fluminense

24/08/2026 - Brazil Serie A

Botafogo

2 - 3

Atletico

15/08/2026 - Brazil Serie A

Atletico

1 - 1

RB Bragantino

09/08/2026 - Brazil Serie A

Santos FC

0 - 2

Atletico

06/08/2026 - Copa Do Brasil

Vitoria

4 - 0

Atletico

Atlético Mineiro

03/10/2026 - Brazil Serie A

Atlético

1 - 0

RB Bragantino

19/09/2026 - Brazil Serie A

Atlético

1 - 1

Chapecoense-sc

16/09/2026 - CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Atlético

4 - 2

Santos FC

12/09/2026 - Brazil Serie A

Atlético

3 - 1

Fluminense

09/09/2026 - CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Santos FC

2 - 0

Atlético

05/09/2026 - Brazil Serie A

Sao Paulo

2 - 0

Atlético

02/09/2026 - Copa Do Brasil

Atlético

2 - 1

Cruzeiro

29/08/2026 - Brazil Serie A

Atlético

2 - 1

Vitoria

Match information

Round

29th round - Brazil Serie A

Date

08/10/2026 - 23:00

Referee

Ramon Abatti

Stadium

Arena da Baixada

Place

Curitiba, Paraná - Brazil

Survey results - TOP 5

Match Bet Vote

Winner Como 1907

100%

Winner Inter Milan

75%

Survey results - TOP 5

Match Bet Vote

Winner Como 1907

100%

Winner Inter Milan

75%

	Atletico Paranaense	Atlético Mineiro
Victories	1	3
Unforfeited Matches	2	4
Conceding goals	4	4
First to score	2	3
	Odair Hellmann	E. Domínguez