CONCACAF Gold Cup CONCACAF Gold Cup

06/07/2025 - 19:00

United States vs Mexico

United States
Team streak
1 - 2
Mexico
Team streak

Who will win?
United States
VS
Mexico
42%
42%
16%

United States vs Mexico predictions, H2H, statistics and tips

Match analysis

At the Robert F. Kennedy Memorial Stadium, the venue for the final, the team coached by M. Pochettino will try to secure a victory to claim the CONCACAF Gold Cup winner's trophy, where  United States will face Mexico on 6 July at 19:00, and will be refereed by Mario Escobar.

Continue reading our analysis for stats, H2H history and best predictions for this United States vs Mexico.

United States United States

United States comes from playing against Guatemala and finished the match with a result of 2-1, with win for United States. Buoyed by this latest result, they will be looking to get another win against Tricolor coached by J. Aguirre. In that last match between United States and Guatemala, USA team achieved a 49% possession of the ball, with 7 shots on goal of which 2 were goals. The goals were scored by Diego Luna (x2).

In the last 8 matches, the team coached by M. Pochettino has achieved 6 wins, y 2 defeats, and is on a streak of 5 consecutive wins and scoring at least one goal in the last 6 matches. United States average number of goals per game is 2.1 goals, while they concede an average of 1.1 goals per game. With this trend they have 3 matches conceding at least one goal. In those 8 matches, they have scored a total of 17 goals while conceding 9 goals.

Latest statistics in United States matches:

  • Over 2.5 goals: 6/8
  • Both teams to score: 5/8
  • First to score: 5/8
  • Winning streak: 5
  • Draw at half-time: 5/8

Mexico Mexico

The team coached by J. Aguirre heads into this match on the back of a recent 1-0 win over Honduras. Thanks to the boost of this victory, the Tricolor will be looking to achieve another good result and take the final.

In that match between Mexico and Honduras, the Tricolor team achieved 56% ball possession, getting 4 shots on goal, 1 of which was a goal. The goal was scored by R. Jiménez.

Analysing the last 8 matches, J. Aguirre's team has won 7, drawn 1 , and is on a run of 2 consecutive wins and scoring at least one goal in the last 2 matches. Mexico average 2.0 goals per game, while they concede an average of 0.4 goals per game. With this trend, they have now kept 4 clean sheets. In those 8 matches, they have scored a total of 16 goals while conceding 3 goals.

Latest statistics in Mexico matches:

  • Under 2.5 goals: 5/8
  • Both teams to score: 2/8
  • Clean sheets: 4
  • First to score: 7/8
  • Draw at half-time: 5/8

 

United States vs Mexico: H2H STATS

The match-ups between the two teams can help you when placing your bets. We have taken them into account for this United States vs Mexico prediction. The last match between these teams was in the CONCACAF Nations League competition, in an event that took place at the Azteca stadium on 25-03-2024 with the result of 0-2, with United States winning.

The last 5 meetings between United States and Mexico have resulted in 4 wins for United States, , and 1 draw. In those matches, United States managed to score 8 goals, while Mexico scored 0 goals against United States.

  • En 4/5  games it was an Under 2.5 goals

 

United States United States

Mexico Mexico

Victories

4

0

Unforfeited Matches

5

1

Conceding goals

0

4

First to score

4

0

 

M. Pochettino 
M. Pochettino

J. Aguirre 
J. Aguirre

Last head to head

25/03/2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

Mexico

Mexico

0 - 2

United States

United States
16/06/2023 - CONCACAF Nations League

United States

United States

3 - 0

Mexico

Mexico
25/03/2022 - World Cup

Mexico

Mexico

0 - 0

United States

United States
13/11/2021 - World Cup

United States

United States

2 - 0

Mexico

Mexico
02/08/2021 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

United States

United States

1 - 0

Mexico

Mexico

Timeline

United StatesUnited States

4
Player change
Yellow card
Tyler Adams
13
Tim Ream
14
Player change
Luca De La Torre
25
Matthew Freese
3 Football ball
Chris Richards
17
Malik Tillman
8
Sebastian Berhalter
10
Player change
Diego Luna
16
Alexander Freeman
18
Player change
Maximilian Arfsten
24
Patrick Agyemang

Substitutes:

22 - Mark McKenzie

11 - Brenden Aaronson Player change

12 - Miles Robinson

23 - Brian White

1 - Matt Turner

5 - Walker Zimmerman

20 - Nathan Harriel

2 - John Tolkin Player change

6 - Jack McGlynn Player change

7 - Quinn Sullivan

26 - Chris Brady

9 - Damion Downs Player change

MexicoMexico

4 Football ball
Edson Álvarez
3 Yellow card
César Montes
2
Player change
Jorge Sánchez
25
Player change
Roberto Alvarado
23
Jesús Gallardo
9 Football ball
Player change
Yellow card
Raúl Jiménez
10
Alexis Vega
5
Johan Vásquez
1
Luis Malagón
14
Marcel Ruíz
7
Player change
Gilberto Mora

Substitutes:

13 - Guillermo Ochoa

8 - Carlos Rodríguez

16 - Julián Quiñones

17 - Orbelín Pineda Player change

18 - Ángel Sepúlveda

21 - César Huerta Player change

11 - Santiago Giménez Player change

15 - Israel Reyes Player change

6 - Erik Lira

12 - Raúl Rangel

19 - Jesús Orozco

26 - Mateo Chávez

United States vs Mexico prediction

Having analysed in detail the latest results of both USA and Tricolor and their current form, and taking into account that it is a final, the StaTips team, using their AI tool, have determined the following predictions for the United States vs Mexico match which you can see below:

Betting market

Tips

Prob.

Winner
United States
Halftime and Full time
United States/United States
Both teams to score
Yes
Over/Under goals
Over 2,5 goals

United States vs Mexico stats

Season statistics

United StatesUnited States MexicoMexico

9

7

0

2

5

2

1

9

Games played

Wins

Draws

Lost

Won at home

Won as a visitor

Ranking

Points

9

7

1

1

5

2

1

7


Statistics of the last matches

United StatesUnited States MexicoMexico

8

6

0

2

17

9

2.1

1.1

5

3

3

5

0

Games played

Wins

Draw

Lost

Goals in favor

Goals against

Avg goals in favor

Avg goals against

First to score

First to concede

First half winner

First-half draw

First-half loser

8

7

1

0

16

3

2.0

0.4

7

0

3

5

0

Live team statistics

United StatesUnited States MexicoMexico

0

40

6

3

2

0

0

6

12

1

0

351

280

80

1

5

1

Expected goals

Ball Possesion

Total shots

Shots on goal

Shots of goal

Corner kicks

Offsides

Goalkeeper saves

Fouls

Yellow cards

Red cards

Total pases

Passes accurate

Percentaje pases

Blocked shots

Shots inside box

Shot outside box

0

60

16

8

6

12

0

2

11

2

0

519

441

85

2

7

9

PRO STATS

Streak statistics

United StatesUnited States MexicoMexico

winner

no winning

losing

conceding goal

scoring goal

clean sheet


Goals

Goals stats

United StatesUnited States Info Goals MexicoMexico

Games played

Over 0,5 goals

Over 1,5 goals

Over 2,5 goals

Over 3,5 goals

Over 1,5 goals FH

BTTS AND WIN

BTTS AND LOSE

BTTS FH

BTTS/OVER 2,5 GOALS


Goals

Corners stats

Info Corners Statips Pro corners/match

United StatesUnited States Info Corners MexicoMexico

Avg corners

Avg corners home

Avg corners away

Matches over 2,5

Matches over 3,5

Matches over 4,5

Matches over 5,5


Yellow cards Red cards

Cards stats

Info Corners Statips Pro cards/match

United StatesUnited States Info Cards MexicoMexico

Avg cards

Avg cards home

Avg cards away

Matches over 2,5

Matches over 3,5

Matches over 4,5

Matches over 5,5


Offsides

Offsides stats

Info Corners Statips Pro offsides/match

United StatesUnited States Info Offsides MexicoMexico

Avg offsides

Avg offsides home

Avg offsides away

Matches over 2,5

Matches over 3,5

Matches over 4,5

Matches over 5,5


RefereeReferee statistics: Mario Escobar

Average Cards Matches

AVG CARDS HOME TEAMS

AVG CARDS AWAY TEAMS

YELLOW CARDS HOME TEAMS

YELLOW CARDS AWAY TEAMS

RED CARDS HOME TEAMS

RED CARDS AWAY TEAM

MATCHES REFEREED

*Data from the last 12 months


United StatesUnited States

Matches refereed

Average cards

Yellow cards

Red cards


MexicoMexico

Matches refereed

Average cards

Yellow cards

Red cards

Last matches of each team

United StatesUnited States

02/07/2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

United States

United States

2 - 1

Guatemala

Guatemala
29/06/2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

United States

United States

2 - 2

Costa Rica

Costa Rica
22/06/2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

United States

United States

2 - 1

Haiti

Haiti
20/06/2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia

0 - 1

United States

United States
15/06/2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

United States

United States

5 - 0

Trinidad and Tobago

Trinidad and Tobago
22/03/2025 - CONCACAF Nations League

Canada

Canada

2 - 1

United States

United States
20/03/2025 - CONCACAF Nations League

United States

United States

0 - 1

Panama

Panama
19/11/2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

United States

United States

4 - 2

Jamaica

Jamaica

MexicoMexico

03/07/2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Mexico

Mexico

1 - 0

Honduras

Honduras
29/06/2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Mexico

Mexico

2 - 0

Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia
23/06/2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Mexico

Mexico

0 - 0

Costa Rica

Costa Rica
19/06/2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Suriname

Suriname

0 - 2

Mexico

Mexico
15/06/2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Mexico

Mexico

3 - 2

Dominican Republic

Dominican Republic
24/03/2025 - CONCACAF Nations League

Mexico

Mexico

2 - 1

Panama

Panama
21/03/2025 - CONCACAF Nations League

Canada

Canada

0 - 2

Mexico

Mexico
20/11/2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

Mexico

Mexico

4 - 0

Honduras

Honduras